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0xf9ac4c...f7806e

0xf9ac4c...f7806e
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
27.6%
Total P&L
+$19.9K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
6.77
Max Drawdown
2823.7%
ROI
8.1%
Profit Factor
2.98
Kelly Fraction
0.183
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY91.6¢200Mar 5
Will "CEO" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY40.0¢1.633Mar 5
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL87.0¢3.85Mar 5
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL87.0¢2.299Mar 5
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL87.0¢4.96Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL0.6¢500Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?BUY77.0¢200Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?BUY74.0¢3.846Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL0.1¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL0.1¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL0.3¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.1¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY89.4¢1,000Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.0¢445.55Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.0¢4.987Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.0¢49.46Mar 4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?BUY76.0¢20.833Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.2¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?BUY76.0¢60Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Inflation" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY45.0¢0.55Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%8%30–50%11%50–70%13%70–80%18%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.4%
Win Consistency60.7%
Profit Factor0.84
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 161 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$78,35041d profit120d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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