0xf9b473...5b3b17

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.8%

Total P&L

-$369

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.34

Sortino Ratio

-1.34

Max Drawdown

285.9%

ROI

-16.5%

Profit Factor

0.48

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	SELL	10.0¢	34.17	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	28.9¢	34.545	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	BUY	38.0¢	25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BUY	9.0¢	111.111	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	344.82	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	344.828	Feb 20
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	BUY	32.2¢	310.83	Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: January	BUY	46.0¢	587.761	Jan 8
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	64.8¢	308.598	Jan 8
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	SELL	99.3¢	473.68	Jan 3
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	BUY	41.2¢	39.581	Dec 7
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?	SELL	12.0¢	136.03	Dec 7
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	26.7¢	136.037	Dec 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	SELL	5.0¢	285.71	Dec 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	7.0¢	285.714	Dec 2
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	0.6¢	958.93	Nov 27
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	1.0¢	958.938	Nov 27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	5.3¢	714.28	Nov 27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?	SELL	3.8¢	222.22	Nov 27
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?	BUY	13.0¢	543.538	Nov 16

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency25.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity37 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$7576d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue