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0xf9d535...ebfba3

0xf9d535...ebfba3
Smart Score
66
Win Rate
70.4%
Total P&L
+$6.3K
Trade Count
280
Sharpe Ratio
1.20
Sortino Ratio
15.45
Max Drawdown
20.4%
ROI
5.7%
Profit Factor
1.79
Kelly Fraction
0.311
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
065.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢11.11Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY21.0¢66.27Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY21.0¢3.861Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY22.0¢9,000Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢155.082Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢3,497.56Mar 5
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY7.9¢2,000Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY21.0¢840.45Mar 5
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY11.5¢1,042.45Mar 5
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL8.3¢329.06Mar 3
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL8.8¢283.38Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY19.0¢174.49Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY19.0¢123.457Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY19.0¢2.049Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY35.0¢800Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY20.0¢500Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY18.0¢142.99Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY18.0¢144.77Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY18.0¢416.3Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY18.0¢6Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%39%< 10%19%10–20%3%20–30%10%30–50%23%50–70%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active65.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.6%
Win Consistency60.7%
Profit Factor1.70
Drawdown Resilience1.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.38
Weekly Sharpe est.1.05
Trading Activity280 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$41,3194d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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