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0xf9ee9c...2044a4

0xf9ee9c...2044a4
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
34.8%
Total P&L
+$94
Trade Count
363
Sharpe Ratio
0.85
Sortino Ratio
4.88
Max Drawdown
16.9%
ROI
6.1%
Profit Factor
1.25
Kelly Fraction
0.070
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY21.0¢7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY16.0¢1.74Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?BUY25.0¢0.73Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?SELL6.0¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY52.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY38.0¢6.9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY25.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY25.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY38.0¢17.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.5¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY39.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY14.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?SELL0.5¢4.41Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?SELL0.5¢11.59Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL99.2¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?SELL69.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?SELL1.3¢96Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?SELL1.3¢24Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?SELL9.0¢0.61Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?SELL9.0¢27.39Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%11%10–20%17%20–30%55%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.0%
Win Consistency71.8%
Profit Factor1.43
Drawdown Resilience1.16
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88
Trading Activity363 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3014d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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