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0xfa120d...99e785

0xfa120d...99e785
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
16.7%
Total P&L
-$1.7K
Trade Count
31
Sharpe Ratio
-1.38
Sortino Ratio
-1.82
Max Drawdown
82.8%
ROI
-21.7%
Profit Factor
0.71
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY5.1¢758.88Feb 19
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY6.9¢506.441Feb 19
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY7.2¢2,363.807Feb 19
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY7.2¢552.496Feb 12
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY6.6¢1,368.76Feb 11
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?BUY0.7¢4,621.429May 24
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?BUY0.4¢35,792.711May 24
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?BUY7.6¢1,985.776May 24
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?BUY0.9¢22,222.222May 24
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY1.0¢5,193Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY1.0¢13,507.74Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.9¢32,458.38Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.8¢56,116.28Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.9¢27,085Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.8¢25,606.32Mar 19
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.9¢47,352.222Mar 18
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.8¢5,000Mar 18
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.8¢8,907.52Mar 18
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY1.6¢155,395.699Mar 14
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY1.4¢39,757.143Mar 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%68%< 10%10–20%13%20–30%19%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.5%
Win Consistency16.7%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity9 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9060d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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