0xfa28c5...58c37e

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.8%

Total P&L

-$127

Trade Count

3,378

Sharpe Ratio

0.74

Sortino Ratio

3.49

Max Drawdown

140.5%

ROI

-1.0%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	5.61	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	49.0¢	5.89	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	SELL	45.0¢	1.74	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	SELL	43.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	19.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	10.46	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	7.85	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	35.0¢	11.77	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	31.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	31.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	5	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%

Win Consistency46.2%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity3,378 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2581d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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