0xfa6c39...a6a67d

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.6%

Total P&L

+$791

Trade Count

3,998

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

2.59

Max Drawdown

4650.0%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

1.14

Kelly Fraction

0.068

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.04	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	61.0¢	2.475	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.14	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.07	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	52.0¢	5.79	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	5.79	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.22	Mar 5
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	91.0¢	3.692	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	25.0¢	13.8	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	11.588	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	44.0¢	5.523	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	81.0¢	4.42	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	45.0¢	3.822	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	1.439	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.978	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	45.0¢	4.178	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.911	Mar 5
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	3.5¢	164.99	Mar 4
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	3.5¢	86.72	Mar 4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	0.01	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.9%

Win Consistency35.4%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity3,998 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,6542d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue