0xfa7b85...79d474

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.2%

Total P&L

+$214

Trade Count

118

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

0.22

Max Drawdown

1955.0%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.308

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	734.75	Mar 5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	734.75	Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.7¢	690	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	690	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	BUY	82.0¢	126.04	Mar 4
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	783.4	Mar 3
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	783.4	Mar 3
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	648.27	Mar 3
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	648.27	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	611.96	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	611.96	Mar 2
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	488	Mar 2
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	488	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	80.644	Mar 1
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	837.7	Mar 1
Stars vs. Canucks	BUY	65.0¢	248.65	Mar 1
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	837.7	Mar 1
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	779.38	Mar 1
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	779.38	Mar 1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	646	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%

Win Consistency37.1%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity118 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$7473d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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