0xfa8559...7fbbde

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.3%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

205

Sharpe Ratio

-0.74

Sortino Ratio

-0.79

Max Drawdown

361.8%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.6¢	12.07	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.5¢	6.218	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	12.077	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.3¢	6.41	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.6¢	6.41	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	63.0¢	9.524	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.2	Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)	BUY	96.6¢	5.176	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	5.35	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.5¢	9.38	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	8.5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	14.51	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.4¢	5.35	Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	8.421	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.9¢	9.385	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	8.505	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.3¢	13.72	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	14.516	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.0%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity205 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$2942d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue