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0xfad402...91aa87

0xfad402...91aa87
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
35.4%
Total P&L
+$5.9K
Trade Count
1,468
Sharpe Ratio
0.69
Sortino Ratio
54.17
Max Drawdown
3976.3%
ROI
70.3%
Profit Factor
12.37
Kelly Fraction
0.325
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
045.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ETBUY29.0¢68.966Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ETBUY23.0¢86.957Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY1.0¢100.804Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY8.0¢125Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSELL5.0¢49.74Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY20.0¢50.063Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL47.0¢100.13Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY39.9¢100.133Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL39.0¢117.65Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY34.0¢117.647Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?SELL10.1¢106.1Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL49.0¢50.36Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL47.1¢50.35Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY49.6¢100.718Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL47.1¢119.04Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY42.0¢119.048Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETSELL51.0¢78.43Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ETBUY51.0¢78.431Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSELL6.0¢45.11Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY22.0¢45.455Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%12%10–20%14%20–30%37%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.6%
Win Consistency75.2%
Profit Factor1.19
Drawdown Resilience0.96
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96
Weekly Sharpe est.0.73
Trading Activity1,468 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1595d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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