0xfb2ff1...143867

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.3%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.96

Sortino Ratio

-1.32

Max Drawdown

16.6%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

20.97

Kelly Fraction

0.870

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.43	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.5¢	1.45	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.38	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.46	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1.17	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1.29	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.2¢	1.47	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1.39	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	1.25	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.26	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.33	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	1.19	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.18	Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	1.18	Feb 27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.29	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.8¢	1.25	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.37	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	2.04	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.8%

Win Consistency56.5%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity24 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$340d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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