0xfb433d...0674be

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.7%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.31

Sortino Ratio

253.75

Max Drawdown

19.4%

ROI

416.2%

Profit Factor

9.70

Kelly Fraction

0.149

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	800	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.8¢	187.5	Mar 5
Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	1.3¢	140.724	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.8¢	225	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.2¢	1,920	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	8,000	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.0¢	200	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	SELL	0.1¢	349.12	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	0.3¢	666.667	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	0.8¢	651.643	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	3.0¢	166.667	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	SELL	36.0¢	22.72	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	SELL	54.0¢	13.15	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,960	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	2,820	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.3%

Win Consistency53.1%

Profit Factor1.90

Drawdown Resilience1.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53

Weekly Sharpe est.1.17

Trading Activity80 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1221d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue