0xfb6e1a...57b55f

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.9%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

281

Sharpe Ratio

-4.94

Sortino Ratio

-5.82

Max Drawdown

13434.9%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	4.96	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	3.44	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	BUY	86.9¢	3.452	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	3.36	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BUY	88.9¢	3.375	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	SELL	99.0¢	3.32	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	90.0¢	3.333	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	2.06	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	2.062	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	SELL	6.0¢	2.64	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BUY	75.0¢	2.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	5.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	BUY	71.9¢	5.563	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	1.03	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.7¢	1.12	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	97.8¢	1.44	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	97.9¢	1.53	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	98.3¢	2.1	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	5.05	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.3%

Win Consistency39.9%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity281 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$415d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue