0xfbb543...61c496

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.4%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

348

Sharpe Ratio

-1.60

Sortino Ratio

-1.48

Max Drawdown

4185.3%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.4¢	10.373	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.1	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	11.55	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	5.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	7.18	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	16.66	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	7.099	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	6.383	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	5.03	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	6.012	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.1¢	10.29	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.6%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity348 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$78811d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue