0xfbc86f...d7eb14

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.1%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

196

Sharpe Ratio

-0.55

Sortino Ratio

-1.85

Max Drawdown

212.9%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

1.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	50.55	Mar 5
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.5¢	66.667	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	16.0¢	6.235	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	93.1¢	2.5	Mar 4
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	99.9¢	3.57	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?	SELL	66.0¢	4.54	Mar 3
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?	BUY	16.0¢	12.5	Mar 2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?	BUY	55.0¢	9.091	Mar 2
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	44.0¢	4.545	Mar 2
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	79.7¢	2.509	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	38.0¢	4.16	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	24.0¢	4.167	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	44.0¢	4.545	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.7%

Win Consistency25.4%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity196 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$8019d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue