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0xfc10e5...74b9af

0xfc10e5...74b9af
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
20.8%
Total P&L
-$36
Trade Count
41
Sharpe Ratio
0.65
Sortino Ratio
1.56
Max Drawdown
54.4%
ROI
-0.8%
Profit Factor
0.34
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢1,219.737Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ETBUY50.0¢2.55Feb 9
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ETBUY50.0¢7.45Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢0.25Feb 7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢9.19Feb 7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3AM ETBUY50.0¢4.63Feb 6
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3AM ETBUY50.0¢7.79Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢5.63Feb 4
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢5.65Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢0.23Feb 3
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.9¢251.15Feb 3
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢251.152Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢3.72Feb 1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ETBUY50.0¢3.96Feb 1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢247.22Feb 1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢247.225Jan 30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ETBUY50.0¢10.61Jan 30
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢251.31Jan 29
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.7¢251.314Jan 29
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 2AM ETBUY50.0¢1.28Jan 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%66%50–70%70–80%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.28
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity41 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1206d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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