0xfc61e6...0734f9

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

+$54

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.73

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

1.2%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

30.18

Kelly Fraction

0.829

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.8¢	61.587	Mar 5
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	643	Mar 4
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	643.007	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	58.058	Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	646	Mar 2
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	646.004	Mar 2
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	492	Mar 1
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	492.008	Feb 27
Nuggets vs. Thunder	BUY	73.0¢	202.74	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	19.019	Feb 24
Will Solana reach $200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	17.017	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on February 23?	BUY	99.8¢	23.046	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 23?	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 23?	BUY	99.9¢	16.016	Feb 22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 7?	BUY	99.7¢	25.075	Feb 6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	26.026	Jan 26
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	7.007	Jan 23
Will Orlando Cruz qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	16.016	Jan 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.0%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.57

Drawdown Resilience1.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.97

Trading Activity26 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$5222d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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