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0xfc8dce...fe55c5

0xfc8dce...fe55c5
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
63.4%
Total P&L
+$46.7K
Trade Count
3,999
Sharpe Ratio
2.34
Sortino Ratio
188.84
Max Drawdown
791.0%
ROI
8.8%
Profit Factor
2.68
Kelly Fraction
0.397
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?BUY59.0¢1.864Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?BUY58.1¢21.407Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL67.0¢100Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY97.4¢2,203.024Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY97.1¢1,007.787Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY97.1¢2,651.277Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY90.0¢10.567Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY89.0¢43.124Mar 4
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?BUY33.0¢3.08Mar 4
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?BUY33.0¢3.333Mar 4
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL96.5¢1.29Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY69.0¢100Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY77.0¢38.701Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY76.0¢77.053Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY83.0¢40.783Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY81.9¢13.358Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY32.0¢10Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY32.0¢24Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY32.0¢5.813Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY22.0¢12.682Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10%10–20%8%20–30%19%30–50%21%50–70%9%70–80%10%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.9%
Win Consistency62.8%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity3,999 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$54,3314d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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