0xfca282...e2a745

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$183

Trade Count

428

Sharpe Ratio

0.74

Sortino Ratio

6.82

Max Drawdown

19.5%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.026

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	1,526.21	Mar 3
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	635.871	Mar 3
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	858	Mar 2
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	479.91	Mar 1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	269.81	Mar 1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	30	Mar 1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	353.087	Mar 1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	1,086.967	Mar 1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	1,196.51	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	11.087	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	636.11	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,094.505	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,093.407	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,092.308	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,091.209	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	1,090.11	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	902.331	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	645.16	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	281.53	Feb 28
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	613.32	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.4%

Win Consistency35.3%

Profit Factor1.38

Drawdown Resilience1.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.85

Trading Activity428 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,5246d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue