0xfcab73...36e3a5

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.6%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

201

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

3.04

Max Drawdown

20.1%

ROI

7.8%

Profit Factor

1.33

Kelly Fraction

0.076

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	20.1¢	124.431	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	20.2¢	247.92	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	238.095	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	23.0¢	221.87	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	SELL	26.1¢	188.89	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	26.5¢	188.889	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	SELL	41.0¢	1,268.04	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	SELL	41.0¢	200	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	27.0¢	188.889	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	33.0¢	151.515	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	30.0¢	216.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	31.9¢	104.53	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	33.0¢	151.515	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	35.0¢	225.556	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	39.0¢	200	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	41.0¢	200	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	39.0¢	29.37	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	138.889	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	38.0¢	263.421	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	23.0¢	434.783	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.3%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity201 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4829d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue