0xfcb61b...437a1e

Smart Score

Win Rate

5.4%

Total P&L

+$35

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.44

Sortino Ratio

10.09

Max Drawdown

445.8%

ROI

21.2%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	271.205	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.9¢	20.408	Mar 5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 4
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	1.8¢	55.556	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	SELL	1.4¢	450	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	SELL	1.4¢	40	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	SELL	1.4¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	10.8¢	84.27	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	10.8¢	11.67	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	10.8¢	18.519	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	27.5¢	14.02	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.9¢	114.464	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	7.1¢	14.028	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?	BUY	1.7¢	60.076	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	6.9¢	14.493	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency53.6%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity83 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

+$126d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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