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0xfce1c5...84c9bf

0xfce1c5...84c9bf
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
8.2%
Total P&L
-$418
Trade Count
67
Sharpe Ratio
0.78
Sortino Ratio
9.56
Max Drawdown
1163.2%
ROI
-42.1%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY11.0¢279.429Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.5¢66.667Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY3.4¢58.526Mar 4
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY0.1¢683.475Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.4¢500Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.2¢900.667Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY2.8¢179.643Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY4.5¢134.667Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL31.5¢157.79Mar 3
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?SELL8.2¢115.38Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY12.3¢93.835Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY4.0¢126.433Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY1.4¢347.049Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY3.2¢157.799Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY1.2¢401.132Mar 1
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?BUY8.2¢181.909Mar 1
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY8.1¢246.914Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY22.3¢112.304Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY7.7¢185.64Mar 1
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?BUY50.0¢200Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%77%< 10%15%10–20%5%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.0%
Win Consistency20.4%
Profit Factor0.03
Drawdown Resilience0.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity67 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7732d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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