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0xfce49e...a2ebc1

0xfce49e...a2ebc1
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
82.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
176
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Sortino Ratio
-0.11
Max Drawdown
200.2%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
2.92
Kelly Fraction
0.539
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY95.3¢1.049Mar 5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL78.0¢1.23Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL85.0¢1.13Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY81.0¢1.235Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.136Feb 27
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?SELL80.2¢1.15Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL94.0¢1.06Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY86.9¢1.151Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 24
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL88.0¢1.12Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL78.0¢1.17Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY89.0¢1.124Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY85.0¢1.176Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL83.0¢1.16Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?SELL76.0¢1.29Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?BUY77.0¢1.299Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY86.0¢1.163Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?SELL67.0¢1.49Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL96.0¢1.04Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%19%70–80%31%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.4%
Win Consistency52.5%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity176 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$82d profit42d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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