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0xfcea3d...f218cb

0xfcea3d...f218cb
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
50.8%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
3,149
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
5.23
Max Drawdown
5016.9%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
1.00
Kelly Fraction
0.001
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY98.6¢1.014Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY29.0¢3.448Mar 5
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL10.0¢23.07Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY12.0¢10Mar 5
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL8.0¢5.55Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL5.0¢4.34Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢4.762Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?SELL0.1¢28.19Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?BUY3.5¢28.191Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?SELL90.0¢1Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?SELL0.1¢14.99Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 3?BUY28.7¢17.1Mar 3
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?SELL94.1¢2.08Mar 3
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL77.0¢3.7Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?BUY99.4¢1.006Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?BUY9.5¢6.95Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?BUY9.5¢4.046Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?BUY9.5¢4Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?BUY46.0¢4.348Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 3?BUY21.0¢5Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%7%10–20%8%20–30%15%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%7%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%
Win Consistency53.7%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity3,149 trades · 221 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,23933d profit184d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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