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0xfd1afa...e376b4

0xfd1afa...e376b4
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
73.7%
Total P&L
+$94.5K
Trade Count
221
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
1.07
Max Drawdown
307.2%
ROI
10.5%
Profit Factor
1351.58
Kelly Fraction
0.736
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢4,566.79Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢125Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢863.07Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢140Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢675Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢7,348.75Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢150Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY99.2¢231.17Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL53.5¢15,482.36Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL53.5¢57.252Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL53.5¢5,000Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL53.5¢3.945Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL53.5¢5,597.533Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢20,272.97Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢46.018Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢513.14Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢51.15Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢3.54Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢5Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY43.5¢3,977.39Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%14%10–20%20–30%11%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.84
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity72 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
$61,1601d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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