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0xfd82c8...22342b

0xfd82c8...22342b
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
45.8%
Total P&L
+$563
Trade Count
414
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Sortino Ratio
-0.04
Max Drawdown
4200.3%
ROI
3.5%
Profit Factor
1.24
Kelly Fraction
0.087
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢1,000Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY74.0¢135.135Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.5¢118.343Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢400Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.6¢46.702Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢400Feb 23
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY19.0¢10.526Feb 23
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢10.12Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢21.457Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢5.424Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢10Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢10Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢22.435Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢20Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢4.57Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢7.467Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢176.11Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢17.34Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢10.859Dec 16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY8.0¢8.65Dec 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%48%< 10%10%10–20%4%20–30%16%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.2%
Win Consistency56.1%
Profit Factor0.32
Drawdown Resilience0.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.20
Trading Activity374 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,4318d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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