0xfe140d...011a10

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.0%

Total P&L

-$188

Trade Count

570

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

2.03

Max Drawdown

25023.1%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.93

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?	BUY	19.0¢	25	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	72.1¢	80	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	79.0¢	50	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	300	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	69.0¢	50	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	55.1¢	40	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	49.5¢	20	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	49.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	4.3¢	6,254.9	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	34.2	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.9¢	100	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	35.8	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	70	Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	110	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	90	Mar 4
Will Netflix dip to $70 in March?	BUY	7.9¢	40	Mar 3
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	122.11	Mar 2
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	5.882	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	321.91	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	21.5¢	65	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%

Win Consistency32.6%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity495 trades · 76 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,33022d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue