0xfe1ad7...fe6bcc

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.1%

Total P&L

-$402

Trade Count

951

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.78

Max Drawdown

78.9%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?	SELL	90.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	BUY	24.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?	BUY	40.0¢	23	Mar 3
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?	SELL	94.1¢	10	Mar 3
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?	BUY	39.0¢	12.56	Mar 3
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	SELL	33.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?	BUY	28.0¢	18	Mar 2
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?	SELL	19.0¢	23	Mar 2
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	SELL	30.0¢	23	Mar 2
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	SELL	30.0¢	15	Mar 2
Will "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?	BUY	92.0¢	16	Mar 2
Will "Sinners" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?	BUY	92.1¢	16.203	Mar 2
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?	BUY	1.8¢	25	Mar 2
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February?	BUY	1.1¢	20	Mar 1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?	BUY	1.4¢	35	Mar 1
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?	BUY	87.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?	BUY	50.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	54.2¢	16	Mar 1
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	33.6¢	15	Mar 1
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	BUY	14.0¢	5.814	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%

Win Consistency50.6%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity951 trades · 117 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,28143d profit74d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue