0xfe3710...acb5ea

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

120.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

2.13

Kelly Fraction

0.199

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.9¢	81.08	Mar 5
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	81.081	Mar 4
Jazz vs. 76ers	BUY	77.0¢	42.987	Mar 4
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	101.1	Mar 4
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	101.101	Mar 4
Wizards vs. Magic	BUY	11.0¢	48.182	Mar 3
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	97.09	Mar 3
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	97.097	Mar 3
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	113.11	Mar 3
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	113.113	Mar 2
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	99.6¢	107.1	Mar 2
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	107.107	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	101.2	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	101.202	Mar 1
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	95.19	Mar 1
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	95.19	Mar 1
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	109.21	Feb 27
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	109.218	Feb 27
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	98.9¢	8.089	Feb 25
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.7¢	6.018	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency42.3%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity44 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$747d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue