0xfe82c0...757056

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.5%

Total P&L

+$2.0K

Trade Count

810

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

42.27

Max Drawdown

223.2%

ROI

13.8%

Profit Factor

2.10

Kelly Fraction

0.217

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?	BUY	5.8¢	173.876	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	19.4¢	40.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	71.3¢	70.14	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	15.7¢	206.95	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	50.8¢	98.509	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	62.9¢	79.457	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	28.986	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	0.1¢	5.88	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	SELL	1.1¢	15.87	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	92.0¢	43.478	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	BUY	18.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	53.0¢	7.59	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	BUY	42.0¢	4.762	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	34.0¢	5.882	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	52.0¢	3.846	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	26.3¢	7.593	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 1?	BUY	2.8¢	72.405	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 27?	BUY	34.3¢	29.185	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 27?	BUY	23.3¢	42.833	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.2%

Win Consistency46.2%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity810 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6183d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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