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0xfe966e...16060a

0xfe966e...16060a
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
62.6%
Total P&L
+$18
Trade Count
436
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
2.28
Max Drawdown
10000.0%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.62
Kelly Fraction
0.239
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢5.18Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢8.17Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.9¢18.18Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢18.182Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢8.18Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.3Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.6¢7.3Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢17.3Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢10.32Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢10.97Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.1¢10.977Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢12.9Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢5.025Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢12.903Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢15.68Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢15.686Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢9.84Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢9.825Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢10.03Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity436 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$47711d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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