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0xfeba9a...656b42

0xfeba9a...656b42
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
82.9%
Total P&L
+$712
Trade Count
119
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.02
Max Drawdown
257.9%
ROI
9.3%
Profit Factor
4.54
Kelly Fraction
0.647
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.6¢82.6Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY99.3¢31.968Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?BUY99.9¢10.771Feb 27
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?BUY99.9¢15.806Feb 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY98.0¢16.255Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY99.9¢167.867Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY95.4¢96.992Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.8¢165.2Feb 12
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?BUY99.8¢196.944Jan 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢21.167Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.9¢80.53Jan 21
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢75.647Jan 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY96.3¢32.129Jan 17
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY99.7¢360.913Dec 30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY99.1¢115.166Dec 27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY99.3¢103.978Dec 25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?BUY98.8¢193.289Dec 22
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?BUY99.9¢250.13Dec 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY93.0¢69.591Dec 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY35.0¢633.4Nov 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%10%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%72%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.9%
Win Consistency65.1%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity86 trades · 69 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,71514d profit55d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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