0xfec1f7...61927c

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.73

Sortino Ratio

-0.52

Max Drawdown

1772.5%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?	SELL	98.7¢	12	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.5¢	13	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?	BUY	98.6¢	12	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.1¢	13	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	98.3¢	13	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	97.9¢	13	Mar 3
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	98.7¢	12	Mar 3
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	13	Mar 3
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	13	Mar 3
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	98.7¢	12	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	12	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	12	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	12	Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	12	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	12	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	12	Feb 28
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.6¢	12	Feb 28
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.2¢	12	Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	12	Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	12	Feb 26

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%

Win Consistency63.2%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity85 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$7217d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics