0xfefbbd...f8e000

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.8%

Total P&L

+$671

Trade Count

213

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-0.21

Max Drawdown

1371.8%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

2.39

Kelly Fraction

0.307

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	67.0¢	14.925	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	67.0¢	14.925	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.6¢	75.075	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.2¢	15.106	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.8¢	15.198	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.8¢	15.198	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	11.8¢	10.07	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.8¢	5.051	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.9¢	5.025	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	59.0¢	8.475	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	61.1¢	9.24	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	54.1¢	9.242	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	358.71	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	77.0¢	17.17	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	19.6	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	120.48	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	120.482	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	76.0¢	133.33	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.7¢	119.474	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.5%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity213 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2077d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue