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0xff7024...6ad3ea

0xff7024...6ad3ea
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
56.5%
Total P&L
-$584
Trade Count
797
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
0.48
Max Drawdown
21365.8%
ROI
-7.0%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY54.0¢10Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY54.0¢27.78Mar 5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY76.0¢26.37Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL5.3¢318Mar 5
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY54.0¢30.49Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?BUY72.0¢27.78Mar 5
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL69.0¢68.88Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?BUY70.0¢7.143Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksSELL85.0¢40.25Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksBUY50.0¢8Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksBUY62.0¢32.25Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY53.0¢18.87Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY53.0¢28Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?BUY69.0¢7.23Mar 4
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?SELL96.5¢41.42Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?BUY72.0¢27.76Mar 4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY75.0¢6.7Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY52.0¢10Mar 4
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?SELL97.5¢5Mar 3
Mavericks vs. HornetsBUY86.0¢23.25Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%51%30–50%20%50–70%7%70–80%10%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%
Win Consistency76.5%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity796 trades · 67 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,11811d profit56d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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