0xffa433...41ac86

0xffa433...41ac86
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
68.0%
Total P&L
+$1.0K
Trade Count
78
Sharpe Ratio
-1.02
Sortino Ratio
-0.94
Max Drawdown
445.2%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
7.49
Kelly Fraction
0.589
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
022.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢54.9Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.5¢1,586.35Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢1,360.15Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢1,360.15Mar 5
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢1,308.58Mar 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.2¢1,308.58Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢1,148.72Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢1,148.72Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY59.0¢267.43Mar 4
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,291.42Mar 3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,291.42Mar 3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?BUY67.0¢143.68Mar 2
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢1,553.46Mar 2
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢1,553.46Mar 2
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL99.6¢1,524.72Mar 1
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY99.7¢1,524.72Mar 1
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.4¢1,506.84Mar 1
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.4¢1,506.84Mar 1
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,392.44Feb 28
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,392.44Feb 28
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%14%50–70%10%70–80%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%
Win Consistency23.4%
Profit Factor0.60
Drawdown Resilience0.48
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity78 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,0250d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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