0xfff1fb...aa678c

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

-$135

Trade Count

115

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

2427.3%

ROI

-1.0%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	54.547	Mar 5
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?	BUY	97.4¢	20.526	Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	25.641	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	SELL	98.6¢	79.79	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	BUY	98.8¢	20.547	Feb 1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	BUY	98.0¢	79.796	Jan 26
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?	BUY	62.0¢	25.806	Jan 5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?	BUY	38.4¢	52.073	Jan 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?	BUY	38.8¢	51.538	Jan 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?	BUY	98.6¢	20.292	Jan 5
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	88.9¢	53.993	Dec 4
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?	BUY	97.2¢	24.833	Nov 25
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?	BUY	97.1¢	51.493	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	30.29	Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	96.3¢	30.291	Nov 13
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?	BUY	99.3¢	1,071.06	Nov 9
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?	SELL	98.0¢	1,018.94	Nov 9
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?	SELL	98.0¢	20.408	Nov 9
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?	SELL	98.0¢	45.918	Nov 9
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?	BUY	97.7¢	1,085.26	Nov 8

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.2%

Win Consistency54.9%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity65 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,0240d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue