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0xffffffff

0x1513af...e55208
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
-$6.1K
Trade Count
650
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
0.56
Max Drawdown
695.9%
ROI
-2.2%
Profit Factor
0.80
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?SELL22.8¢135.65Aug 10
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?BUY11.3¢1,150.083Aug 10
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?SELL14.2¢823.38Aug 10
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?BUY25.8¢135.659Aug 9
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?SELL5.1¢973.14Aug 9
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?BUY16.0¢225Aug 8
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?BUY13.4¢748.143Aug 8
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL45.0¢133.33Aug 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL39.0¢193.54Aug 8
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?BUY73.5¢823.389Aug 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY31.0¢193.548Aug 2
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY45.0¢133.333Aug 2
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?BUY13.6¢978.575Aug 2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?SELL85.0¢1,018.51Jul 24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?SELL7.1¢927.66Jul 23
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?BUY11.9¢927.667Jul 22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?BUY54.0¢1,018.519Jul 22
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?BUY1.3¢2,692.308Jun 29
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?SELL1.0¢1,470.59Jun 29
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?BUY1.7¢1,470.588Jun 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%11%10–20%9%20–30%16%30–50%19%50–70%20%70–80%13%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity63 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,8379d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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