0xPoni-Elon

0x01a4b8...4d4967

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.0%

Total P&L

+$9.2K

Trade Count

1,194

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

0.42

Max Drawdown

433.0%

ROI

5.8%

Profit Factor

4.54

Kelly Fraction

0.562

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	88.5¢	73.61	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.1¢	126.39	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	3.71	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	2,223.71	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.9¢	200	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	75.6¢	110	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	78.0¢	2,020	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	74.6¢	78.74	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	74.6¢	20	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	90.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	84.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	82.9¢	14.02	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	8.11	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	151.9	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	594.67	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	51.9¢	36.69	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	48.2¢	17.79	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	48.5¢	305	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	45.8¢	409.22	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.3%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor0.87

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity1,194 trades · 88 active days

P&L Calendar

$14,61933d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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