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1231223

0x4baae3...37c6b1
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
+$26
Trade Count
37
Sharpe Ratio
1.27
Sortino Ratio
3.01
Max Drawdown
136.9%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
33.28
Kelly Fraction
0.624
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢179.939Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY97.5¢177.415Feb 9
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?BUY98.4¢172.978Feb 1
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?BUY98.6¢170.213Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY95.5¢160Jan 21
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY92.0¢160Jan 15
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL3.1¢140Jan 14
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY3.4¢140Jan 12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.1¢150Jan 12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.5¢150Jan 9
Maduro out in 2025?BUY99.4¢148.722Dec 30
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.0¢150Dec 29
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.1¢150Dec 28
Maduro out in 2025?SELL96.1¢150Dec 23
Maduro out in 2025?BUY97.2¢150Dec 21
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?SELL6.1¢128.98Dec 17
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?BUY6.2¢128.98Dec 15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.1¢140Dec 5
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.1¢140Dec 4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL98.8¢150Dec 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%23%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%73%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%
Win Consistency61.9%
Profit Factor1.08
Drawdown Resilience0.88
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88
Weekly Sharpe est.0.67
Trading Activity37 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,14015d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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