1316995100

0x4ef126...1a43c8@lll780242036467

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.9%

Total P&L

-$36

Trade Count

115

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

4124.7%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	369.599	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	365.59	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	315.205	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	312.5	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	97.7¢	310.075	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	50.388	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	303.061	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	312.5	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?	BUY	98.9¢	408.496	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?	BUY	98.4¢	304.878	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	225.967	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	53.763	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	159.574	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	84.48	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	5	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	5.26	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	5.26	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	100.648	Feb 28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?	SELL	99.9¢	80.83	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?	BUY	83.0¢	120.482	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency38.6%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity115 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$14,6801d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue