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1BK

0x6c2682...389b6f@Bk5541803057629
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
69.6%
Total P&L
+$279
Trade Count
335
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Sortino Ratio
22.52
Max Drawdown
1207.0%
ROI
6.2%
Profit Factor
1.89
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢11.111Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢10.2Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?BUY9.0¢22.222Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?SELL96.1¢10.98Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY96.5¢8.29Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL18.0¢9.37Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?BUY11.8¢16.924Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?BUY12.5¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 4?SELL99.9¢6.2Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?SELL98.7¢5.12Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY98.8¢7.733Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢10.204Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY91.0¢10.989Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?SELL36.0¢5.88Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?SELL99.9¢25.55Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.7¢6.209Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 4?SELL99.9¢7.07Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY11.7¢25.555Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?SELL99.2¢7.18Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%7%10–20%3%20–30%5%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%15%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.2%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity335 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$53412d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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