1lixc12

0x1a1180...f35dd4
Smart Score
48
Win Rate
31.0%
Total P&L
+$606
Trade Count
149
Sharpe Ratio
0.73
Sortino Ratio
73.82
Max Drawdown
60.6%
ROI
5.8%
Profit Factor
1.48
Kelly Fraction
0.101
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
047.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?BUY13.5¢370.444Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY24.1¢414.851Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.6¢1,086.957Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?SELL95.0¢496.83Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY55.1¢200.917Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL13.5¢820.53Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY64.9¢256.631Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.2¢820.538Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY15.0¢600Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?SELL90.5¢250Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?SELL52.1¢250Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?BUY86.7¢496.835Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?SELL83.7¢514.89Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?SELL95.8¢268.35Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?BUY30.0¢500Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?SELL95.0¢296.92Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY79.0¢268.354Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?BUY45.0¢220Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?SELL90.0¢345.9Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?BUY80.0¢345.9Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%36%10–20%24%20–30%11%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.3%
Win Consistency41.4%
Profit Factor1.24
Drawdown Resilience1.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity149 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$53613d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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