0xa3d9ff...6288d5

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.2%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

288

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.71

Max Drawdown

457.1%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

21.30

Kelly Fraction

0.841

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	51.62	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	51.62	Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	96.5¢	40.99	Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	97.2¢	40.99	Mar 4
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	94.5¢	42.3	Mar 4
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	94.6¢	42.3	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	96.4¢	52.29	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	96.5¢	35.29	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	96.5¢	17	Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	96.6¢	47.21	Mar 3
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	97.0¢	26.87	Mar 3
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	97.0¢	20.34	Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	95.2¢	47.97	Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	91.9¢	9.02	Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	91.9¢	20	Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	91.9¢	18.96	Mar 3
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	96.2¢	52.95	Mar 3
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	96.7¢	52.95	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	96.0¢	50.4	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.6¢	50.41	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%

Win Consistency30.9%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity288 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$814d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue