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213543ss

0x7aa9f2...bbff15
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
67.7%
Total P&L
+$63
Trade Count
327
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
2.89
Max Drawdown
238391.8%
ROI
2.6%
Profit Factor
2.33
Kelly Fraction
0.387
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢5.39Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢5.382Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.6¢8.04Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.5¢8.04Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢7.2Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢10.3Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.45Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢5.459Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL75.0¢10.3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢9.19Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢9.193Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢16.39Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢16.393Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢7.187Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.4¢5.03Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ETBUY97.8¢5.112Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL59.0¢5.36Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL59.0¢8.185Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%5%70–80%10%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%
Win Consistency40.6%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity327 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6676d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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