Accrue
Log inGet Access

235623451

0x88037e...01eb1d
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
59.3%
Total P&L
+$210.4K
Trade Count
998
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Sortino Ratio
0.06
Max Drawdown
809.4%
ROI
91.0%
Profit Factor
12.24
Kelly Fraction
0.544
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY77.0¢8.696Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY77.0¢2,089Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY77.0¢164.54Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY77.0¢714.15Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢828.05Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢1.295Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢25.641Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢1.295Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢2,500Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL78.0¢7.692Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL83.0¢1,107.27Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY77.0¢4,000Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY78.0¢24.091Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY78.0¢241.398Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY78.0¢206.517Mar 2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?SELL49.0¢965Mar 1
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY86.2¢2,654.553Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY91.4¢761.22Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY91.4¢28.14Feb 27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?BUY74.0¢10.26Feb 25

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%7%20–30%9%30–50%23%50–70%18%70–80%30%80–90%13%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.6%
Win Consistency67.1%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity998 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$41,80111d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics