25oodksmsss09

0x3bef3a...8ef04e

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.4%

Total P&L

+$670

Trade Count

3,206

Sharpe Ratio

4.66

Sortino Ratio

73.53

Max Drawdown

52.4%

ROI

27.3%

Profit Factor

3.29

Kelly Fraction

0.330

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	2.9¢	11.1	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	2.07	Mar 5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	3.2¢	6.5	Mar 5
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	SELL	4.5¢	6.5	Mar 5
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	BUY	4.6¢	6.5	Mar 5
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	SELL	18.7¢	9.92	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	3.0¢	6.7	Mar 5
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	BUY	10.0¢	7.14	Mar 5
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	SELL	3.5¢	2	Mar 5
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	SELL	1.9¢	2.01	Mar 5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	1.5¢	2.01	Mar 5
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	2.3¢	2.01	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	6.1	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	56.0¢	8.62	Mar 5
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	3.3¢	42.5	Mar 5
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	6.5	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	2.857	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	0.46	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	2.857	Mar 5
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	SELL	34.2¢	5	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.3%

Win Consistency71.7%

Profit Factor1.90

Drawdown Resilience1.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53

Weekly Sharpe est.1.17

Trading Activity3,206 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$371d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue