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286mgfr

0x2fe727...8142c1
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
56.7%
Total P&L
+$26.9K
Trade Count
3,984
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
Sortino Ratio
2.48
Max Drawdown
230.3%
ROI
159.4%
Profit Factor
1.54
Kelly Fraction
0.198
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.2¢10Mar 5
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4¢10Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY99.4¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY63.7¢10Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY85.7¢10Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY77.0¢2.08Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.3¢10Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY77.0¢2.08Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY34.9¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY58.7¢10Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY16.4¢2.47Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY86.4¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.5¢9.52Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY56.0¢6.409Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY43.0¢10Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY56.0¢3.697Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY56.0¢6.3Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.3¢10Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY97.0¢10Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%11%10–20%5%20–30%13%30–50%14%50–70%5%70–80%11%80–90%21%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.9%
Win Consistency51.9%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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