2ConorWarfes

0x58ebaf...35adb7

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

678.9%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

2.37

Kelly Fraction

0.433

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	125.125	Mar 5
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	125	Mar 5
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	125.125	Mar 5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	110.775	Mar 5
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Feb 11
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	SELL	9.0¢	1	Feb 11
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Feb 11
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Dec 8
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?	SELL	26.0¢	1	Dec 8
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Dec 8
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported by December 31?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Nov 11
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported by December 31?	SELL	97.1¢	2	Nov 11
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported by December 31?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Nov 11
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Oct 20
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Oct 8
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	BUY	94.0¢	2.128	Aug 9
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?	BUY	59.0¢	5.085	Jul 29
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?	SELL	57.0¢	3	Jul 29
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?	BUY	59.0¢	5.085	Jul 29
Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?	SELL	99.9¢	30.06	Jul 29

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%

Win Consistency75.0%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity25 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$2491d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue