300PS

0x8f4112...b3260e

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.1%

Total P&L

+$27.8K

Trade Count

3,577

Sharpe Ratio

1.83

Sortino Ratio

15.45

Max Drawdown

100.6%

ROI

10.0%

Profit Factor

5.47

Kelly Fraction

0.638

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	1,315	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.2¢	50	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.1¢	200	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.2¢	22.4	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.2¢	30	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.2¢	135.135	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.2¢	2.46	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	1,877	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	1,258	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	86.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	1,586.35	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	982	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	873.55	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	95.7¢	200	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	1,329	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	10.05	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.6¢	6.03	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.7%

Win Consistency67.2%

Profit Factor1.39

Drawdown Resilience1.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.86

Trading Activity3,577 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,5922d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue